"To announce that there must be no criticism of the president, or that we are to stand by the president, right or wrong, is not only unpatriotic and servile, but is morally treasonable to the American public." -- Theodore Roosevelt

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Saturday, September 1, 2012

University of Colorado's Model Predicts Big Win for Romney

I hope it's right.

From The Daily Caller article by Geoffrey Malloy:

"A presidential election prediction model developed by two University of Colorado professors points to a big win for GOP presidential contender Mitt Romney in November.

"The model, the only of its kind to use more than one state-level economic indicator, has correctly predicted the winner of every presidential election since 1980.

"It predicts Romney winning the electoral college by a 320-218 margin and winning 52.9 percent of the popular vote when only the two major parties’ candidates are considered, the Associated Press reported Thursday.

"Romney, it concluded, will win every state currently considered by pollsters to be a swing state, including Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Florida, Virginia, Colorado, New Hampshire and North Carolina.

"The model even predicts Romney will win Minnesota and Maine’s Second Congressional District, the electoral votes of which most pollsters consider to be 'safe' for President Obama. Nevada and Iowa are the only swing states it assigns to Obama.


"Bickers and Berry cautioned, however, that their model used economic data from June, 2012. They intend to update their calculations when new data become available in September.

"And many swing states showed close enough to a 50-50 split that factors other than the economy could tilt them in the opposite direction. Bicker and Berry also did not factor in third party candidates, such as Libertarian presidential nominee Gary Johnson, who Public Policy Polling, a Democratic-affiliated polling firm, has noted could significantly diminish Obama’s chances of winning New Mexico."

Actual "hope" I guess.

We'll see.


  1. I'm trying not to get my hopes up too much, but so far, it's hard to see how Romney can lose. That said, we still have the convention and three debates to get through . . . anything can happen. Yikes!

    1. Very true. And let's not forget the voter fraud issue. DuJan at HillBuzz has some pretty big eye-openers on that.

      Honestly w/o the media shilling for Obama, he'd be absolutely doomed. After spending 5 trillion dollars, the economy is very weak. His biggest accomplishment is ObamaCare that the vast majority of Americans want repealed. He refuses to take responsibility for anything that's gone wrong under his watch-- hardly an endearing trait. But still it will likely be a close election.

      I just included this post as kind of a pep-talk-- not as a prediction.